Warm & Breezy Today; Strong Storms Possible Tomorrow
Warm and breezy conditions are in store for today as the pressure gradient tightens over our area and amplifies our southerly winds. We will see the potential for rain by late today and into the night before our storm chances increase by tomorrow morning, some of these storms could be strong to severe.
Temperatures this morning were mild in the 50s which was a stark contrast to what we’ve seen earlier this week. Winds are expected to pick up through the day and consistently be out of the south. Because of the expected gusty winds, especially for tomorrow, a wind advisory is in place over good portions of our area which goes into effect later today for Southeast Kansas and then early tomorrow morning for Southwest Missouri.
Our first batch of rain chances will move in by tonight and likely consist of elevated showers and storms. A strong cap will be in place across our area and this will limit further storm development through the night until better forcing arrives by tomorrow morning. There still exists uncertainty concerning the capping inversion. If it is able to hold over our area by tomorrow morning as the dry line and cold front push through, then the greatest threat for severe weather will be farther to the east. If it is able to be eroded as the fronts pass through, then we could see the chance for more severe weather. Due to the threat for severe weather, our area is outlined in a slight risk for Southwest Missouri and Northwest Arkansas, and a marginal risk for Southeast Kansas and the majority of Northeast Oklahoma. The greatest severe weather should occur to our east into Friday afternoon.
Once the cold front passes through we will see windy conditions across the area and this is why the wind advisory is outlined.
For today, expect a high around 66 with warm and breezy conditions and rain chances possible late in the day. For tonight, expect a low around 60 with storm chances increasing and we will still be breezy. After our storm chances tomorrow we should see a nice weekend before more storm chances next week.
