The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released their annual winter outlook.
NOAA says there is a 75% chance of an El Nino developing. Forecasters are predicting above average temperatures are most likely across the northern and western U.S., Alaska and Hawaii.
“We expect El Nino to be in place in late fall to early winter,” said Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “Although a weak El Nino is expected, it may still influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North.”
According to the outlook, no part of the United States is expected to have below average temperatures during the winter. Drier than normal conditions are expected across parts of the northern Rockies, Northern Plains, Great Lakes and northern Ohio Valley. Wetter-than-average conditions are favored in the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and portions of the southern United States.
NOAA’s seasonal outlooks give the likelihood that temperatures and precipitation will be above-, near- or below-average, and how drought conditions are expected to change, but the outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations.